{"id":2700,"date":"2025-07-21T09:59:21","date_gmt":"2025-07-20T23:59:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.specmarkets.com\/2025\/07\/21\/thi-truong-tang-tro-lai-nhung-dung-de-su-binh-tinh-danh-lua-ban-bien-dong-dang-hinh-thanh\/"},"modified":"2025-07-30T10:05:07","modified_gmt":"2025-07-30T00:05:07","slug":"thi-truong-tang-tro-lai-nhung-dung-de-su-binh-tinh-danh-lua-ban-bien-dong-dang-hinh-thanh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.specmarkets.com\/vi\/insights-vi\/weekly-insights-vi\/thi-truong-tang-tro-lai-nhung-dung-de-su-binh-tinh-danh-lua-ban-bien-dong-dang-hinh-thanh\/","title":{"rendered":"Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1eebng \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh t\u0129nh \u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba b\u1ea1n \u2014 Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>B\u1edfi Spec FX Research Desk<\/em><\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf t\u00edch c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec3m &#8220;l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i h\u01a1n&#8221;, d\u1eadp t\u1eaft hy v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) s\u1eafp c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nh\u01b0ng ngay khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i h\u01a1i th\u1edf, tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 v\u1ebb s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 y\u00ean t\u0129nh.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, m\u00f9a b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t quan tr\u1ecdng, n\u0103m ng\u00e0y giao d\u1ecbch t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra m\u00e0 c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111ang theo d\u00f5i v\u00e0 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao b\u1ea1n c\u0169ng n\u00ean theo d\u00f5i.  <\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd0d C\u00f3 g\u00ec tr\u00ean Radar?<\/h2>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ECB (EUR)<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 b\u1ea7u c\u1eed Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (JPY)<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u CPI c\u1ee7a New Zealand (NZD)<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">M\u1ed7i y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i v\u00e0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu. Nh\u01b0ng khi k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p l\u1ea1i, ch\u00fang v\u1ebd n\u00ean b\u1ee9c tranh v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng &#8211; c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh v\u0129 m\u00f4 r\u1ea5t b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n. <\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Th\u1ee9 Hai: Ch\u00e2u \u00c1 m\u1edf m\u00e0n v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t ti\u1ebfng n\u1ed5 l\u1edbn<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3ng y\u00ean bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 b\u1ea7u c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1edbm v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cho c\u00e1c c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 JPY. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, New Zealand c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u CPI &#8211; c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng Kiwi trong nhi\u1ec1u tu\u1ea7n qua.  <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y, b\u1ea3n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t Cho vay C\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o cho t\u00e2m l\u00fd ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 khu v\u1ef1c. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 y\u00ean \u1eafng h\u01a1n, h\u00e3y ch\u00fa \u00fd theo d\u00f5i b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0o v\u1ec1 thu\u1ebf quan th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng lan t\u1ecfa \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro. <\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Th\u1ee9 Ba: Ti\u1ebfng n\u00f3i c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n Cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp Ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, h\u00e9 l\u1ed9 nh\u1eefng manh m\u1ed1i v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng. T\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Anh Andrew Bailey s\u1ebd \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i, trong khi t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang Jerome Powell d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd c\u00f3 b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i Washington. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ngo\u00e0i ra c\u00f2n c\u00f3: Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Richmond\u2014m\u1ed9t th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u01b0ng th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ecb b\u1ecf qua, v\u1ec1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0: Thu nh\u1eadp c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00fa \u00fd<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd b\u1ecb b\u1ecf qua v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa tu\u1ea7n, v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Doanh s\u1ed1 Nh\u00e0 \u1edf Hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1eebng mong \u0111\u1ee3i s\u1ef1 b\u00ecnh l\u1eb7ng &#8211; Alphabet (GOOGL) s\u1eafp c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o thu nh\u1eadp, v\u00e0 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 n\u00f3i chung v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n. <\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Th\u1ee9 n\u0103m: Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 PMI b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 + Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a ECB<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Th\u1ee9 n\u0103m s\u1ebd c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI t\u1eeb kh\u1eafp n\u01a1i tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi: \u00dac, Ph\u00e1p, \u0110\u1ee9c, EU, Anh v\u00e0 Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u s\u01a1 b\u1ed9 v\u1ec1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">C\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00fa \u00fd. Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u00dac (RBA) Michelle Bullock s\u1ebd ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1, v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) s\u1ebd c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch London. C\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y, bao g\u1ed3m s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01a1n xin tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n nh\u00e0 m\u1edbi.  <\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u: Th\u01b0 gi\u00e3n nh\u1eb9 nh\u00e0ng\u2014hay kh\u00f4ng<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u kh\u00e1 y\u00ean \u1eafng, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 v\u00f4 ngh\u0129a. S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u CPI c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb c\u1ee7a Anh v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 M\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng Kinh doanh IFO c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0110\u01a1n \u0111\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a B\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1edbm trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch New York v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mang \u0111\u1ebfn b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n.  <\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfaf B\u00e0i h\u1ecdc r\u00fat ra t\u1eeb Spec FX<\/h2>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng r\u1ee7i ro s\u1eafp t\u1edbi, s\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 quan s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t sai l\u1ea7m. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch n\u00ean chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gia t\u0103ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 xung quanh th\u00f4ng tin t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 kinh doanh. <\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">T\u1eeb ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a, c\u00e1ch ch\u01a1i th\u00f4ng minh trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i nhanh nh\u1eb9n, c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u00f4ng tin v\u00e0 lu\u00f4n s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u0110\u1ec3 bi\u1ebft th\u00eam th\u00f4ng tin chi ti\u1ebft h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c FX, h\u00e3y theo d\u00f5i Spec FX.<\/em><\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c nh\u1edd d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. C\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf s\u1eafp t\u1edbi, bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng. 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